Tropical Cyclone René (15P) Situated South-Southeast of Fiji28.4S 176.4W
Tropical Cyclone René (15P), located approximately 440 nautical miles south-southeast of Nadi, Fiji, has tracked west-southwestward at 16 knots over the past six hours. Maximum significant wave height is 24 feet.
Animated multispectral satellite imagery shows a fully exposed low level circulation center (LLCC) with deep convection sheared to the south of the storm. Though Dvorak estimates indicate the system may only be
35 knots, the current intensity of 45 knots is based the principle that the system will wind down slower than the convection dissipates.
TC René is now tracking over unfavorably cool waters while an upper-level low to the northwest is suppressing convection. TC 15P will continue to track generally southwestward as it approaches the axis of the subtropical steering ridge over the next 24 to 36 hours. At the same time, René will gradually dissipate as a significant tropical cyclone due to hostile vertical wind shear and cold sea surface temperatures.