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System Near Baja California Has 100% Chance of Becoming Tropical Depression

17.7N 115W

October 13th, 2012 Category: Tropical Storms

Area of Low Pressure – October 12th, 2012

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Track of Area of Low Pressure - October 12th, 2012 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of Area of Low Pressure


Satellite images indicate that a tropical depression or tropical storm is forming about 550 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Advisories will likely be initiated on this system later today, and it has a very high chance (near 100 percent) of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves westward at 10 to 15 mph.
As of 11 a.m. AST (1500 UTC) October 13, Tropical Storm Rafael (17L) is

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