Disorganized Tropical Storm Erika Likely to Pass Near or Over Northern Leeward Islands17.0N 63W
As of 5:00 AM AST (0900 UTC) the poorly-defined center of Tropical Storm Erika was estimated to be about 280 miles (455 km) east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands.
Here, the islands are obscured; however, the mouth of the Amazon River and the northern coasts of Suriname, French Guiana and Brazil are visible south of the storm in the full image
Erika has been moving generally westward near 5 mph (7 km/hr) and a west-northwestward motion at a slightly faster forward speed is expected over the next day or two.
On the forecast track the center will pass near or over the northern Leeward Islands during the next day or so. Tropical storm warnings have been issued for Antigua, Barbuda, Montserrat, St. Kitts, Nevis, Anguilla, St. Maarten, Saba and St. Eustatius.
Erika is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the northern Leeward Islands during the next couple of days, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches.
Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/hr) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 120 miles (195 km) mainly to the northeast of the center. Minimum central pressure is reportedly around 1005 mb (29.68 inches).