Area of Convection by India and Sri Lanka – December 6th, 201012.2N 80.3E
An area of convection is now located near 9.1N 82.9E, approximately 225 nm northeast of Colombo, Sri Lanka.
The low level circulation center (LLCC) has looped back toward the east-northeast. Convection
remains unorganized and continues to flare along the northern extent of the disturbance.
Upper level analysis reveals the system remains south of the ridge axis in an area of moderate to high vertical wind
shear (25 to 30 knots). Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20 to 25 knots. Minimum sea level pressure is estimated to be near 1006 mb.
Based on the overall lack of convective organization and relatively high vws the potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains poor.