Tropical Cyclone Haruna (16S) Tracking Eastward After Making Landfall Over Madagascar26.8S 47.8E
Tropical Cyclone Haruna (16S), located approximately 395 nm southwest of La Reunion, has tracked eastward at 10 knots over the past six hours.
Animated infrared satellite imagery indicates that deep convection has remained disorganized over the past 12 hours with warming cloud top temperatures, indicative of weakening deep convection occurring over the past six hours. An SSMI image, however, continues to show tightly-curved shallow banding wrapping into a well-defined low-level circulation center.
Consequently, Dvorak intensity estimates have decreased to 35 knots. SATCON estimates remain near 45 knots, which fits better with the overall convective structure and with an ASCAT image, which showed 35 to 40 knot winds over the western semi-circle. The initial intensity remains assessed at 45 knots. There is fair confidence in the initial position based on the elongated LLCC evident in recent microwave imagery.