Tropical Cyclone 26S (Jade) Off Northeast Madagascar Coast
Tropical Cyclone 26s (Jade), located approximately 265 nautical miles northeast of Antananarivo, Madagascar, has tracked southwestward at 9 knots over the past 6 hours. Maximum significant wave height is 15 feet.
Recent animated multispectral satellite imagery indicates that Jade has moved over coastal Madagascar and is beginning to lose some of the deeper convection over the low level circulation center.
TC 26S is forecast to remain over madagascar through tau 48 with continued weakening throughout the forecast.
Upper level analysis shows that Jade is located under the axis of a subtropical ridge providing excellent outflow to the Southeast and low vertical wind shear.
The system is currently being steered on the northwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge to the southeast. The ridge is expected to weaken and shift to the east, allowing the system to turn southward around TAU 36.