Tropical Cyclone 14s (Freddy) Continues to Intensify
Tropical Cyclone 14s (Freddy), located approximately 455 nm northwest of Learmonth, Australia, has tracked westward at 10 knots over the past 6 hours. The system has intensified steadily over the past 12 hours aided by passage over warm water and strong westward diffluence.
This intensification has occurred despite persistent, moderate easterly vertical wind shear induced by the peripheral flow around an upper-level anticyclone located poleward of the cyclone. Tropical Cyclone 14s (Freddy) is tracking westward under the steering influence of subtropical ridging to the south.
The cyclone is expected to track west-southwestward through the forecast period toward a weakness in the subtropical ridge induced by a developing midlatitude trough.
Persistent vertical wind shear and passage over increasingly cooler water are expected to slowly weaken tc 14s after tau 24. Maximum significant wave height at 080600z is 18 feet.