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Tropical Cyclone 13S (Gael) Expected to Intensify

February 4th, 2009 Category: Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Cyclone 13S (Gael) - February 3rd, 2009

Tropical Cyclone 13S (Gael) - February 3rd, 2009

TC 13S - enhanced image

TC 13S - enhanced image

Tropical Cyclone 13S (Gael), located approximately 460 nautical miles east-northeast of La Reunion, has tracked west-southwestward at 8 knots over the past 6 hours.

More recently, convection has begun to rebuild near a partially-exposed low level circulation, bringing all reporting fix agencies back to a final-T of 25 or 35 knots.

Vertical windshear continues to bias convection towards the northwest quadrant and has limited significant intensity gains over the past 12 hours.

Maximum significant wave height is 13 feet.
The cyclone ie forecast to track generally west to southwestward with the low to mid-level subtropical flow, while making modest intensity gains, at least initially.

Beyond 24 hours, upper level conditions are expected to improve considerably as the upper level winds relax near the subtropical ridge axis, allowing for more aggressive intensification.

source JTWC

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