Tropical Cyclone 06B Forms off Coast of India
The area of convection near India and Sri Lanka that we had been watching yesterday has indeed turned into a tropical cyclone.
Tropical Cyclone 06B, located approximately 225 nautical miles east of Cochin, India, has tracked west-northwestward at 2 knots over the past 6 hours. Maximum significant wave height is at 13 feet.
Multispectral imagery continues to show the system intensifying as it slowly tracks to the northwest over the Palk Strait.
The steering flow is being weakly influenced by the subtropical ridge to its north, tracking it into mainland India.
The system will begin to weaken as it approaches the coast of India, with a rapid weakening upon landfall.
Upper level radial outflow has maintained the slow development observed over the past 12 hours.
The forecast track has moved further northward than previously expected but has been maintaining the slow speeds previously observed.
Model guidance indicates that there could be a redevelopment of the storm as it moves into the Arabian Sea.