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Hurricane Beatriz Near Coast of Southwestern Mexico

17.3N 103.9W

June 21st, 2011 Category: Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Beatriz (02E) - June 20th, 2011

Enhanced image

Track of TC 02E

The center of Hurricane Beatriz is located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 103.5 West.

Beatriz is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and a turn toward the northwest and west-northwest is forecast during the next 48 hours.

On the forecast track, the center of the hurricane will be moving very near or over the coast of Mexico in the hurricane warning area overnight Monday and moving away from the coast by late Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Beatriz is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale. Some additional strengthening is possible if the center remains over water during the next day or so.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). Estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).

Hazards affecting land include wind, rainfall and storm surges. Hurricane conditions are likely affecting portions of the coast of Mexico within the hurricane warning area. Tropical storm conditions are also occurring elsewhere within portions of the warning area.

Beatriz is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 12 inches along the coasts of the states of Guerrero, Jalisco, Colima and Michoacán in southwestern Mexico, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches over mountainous terrain. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

A storm surge is also expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds within the hurricane warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

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