Hina Not Expected to Return to Tropical Cyclone Status
At 241800Z, ex-Tropical Cyclone 16S (Hina) was located near 20.4S 74.6E, approximately 790 nautical miles south of Diego Garcia, and had tracked westward at 10 knots over the past six hours.
Recent METSAT imagery shows a partially exposed low level circulation center (LLCC) with flaring convection located on the southern periphery of the disturbance.
Although this convection has been flaring for the past 12 hours, high vertical wind shear associated with an approaching upper level low to the west is preventing significant development.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 25 to 30 knots. Minimum sea level pressure is estimated to be near 1005 mb.
Due to the high shear environment the potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is poor.