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Good Possibility for Formation of Tropical Cyclone near India and Sri Lanka

November 25th, 2008 Category: Tropical Cyclones

Area of Convection near India - November 25th, 2008

Area of Convection near India - November 25th, 2008

Area of Convection near India - enhanced image

Area of Convection near India - enhanced image

The formation of a significant tropical cyclone is possible near India within the next 6 to 24 hours, although the JTWC has said that the available data does not yet justify issuing numbered tropical cyclone warnings.

The area of convection is located approximately 170 nautical miles north-northeast of Kotte, Sri Lanka, where it is quasi-stationary at 3 knots. Winds in the area are estimated to be 30 to 35 knots.

Recent imagery has shown a rapidly consolidating low level circulation center (LLCC) with deep convection beginning to move over water from northern Sri Lanka.

Upper level analysis has shown that the system is under the southern periphery of a ridge axis with low to moderate vertical wind shear.

Water vapor animation has indicated good poleward and equatorward outflow.

Maximum sustained winds near the center are estimated at 30 to 35 knots and minimum sea level pressure is near 1000mb.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours has been upgraded to good.

source JTWC

One Response to “Good Possibility for Formation of Tropical Cyclone near India and Sri Lanka”

  1. 1
    ramanujam s:

    we thank to Nature God that in tamilnadu we get sufficient water only thro north east monsoon, ie. from moderate cyclones only. that also from south-southeast direction only. if it is east of chennai then, it is not useful for tamilnadu. we welcome this newly forming cyclone near to tamilnadu and srilanka.

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