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Fair Possibility for Tropical Cyclone near Sri Lanka

December 3rd, 2008 Category: Tropical Cyclones

Area of convection near Sri Lanka - December 3rd, 2008

Area of convection near Sri Lanka - December 3rd, 2008

Convection near Sri Lanka - enhanced image

Convection near Sri Lanka - enhanced image

An area of convection approximately 700 nautical miles east of Colombo, Sri Lanka, has remained quasi-stationary in the Indian Ocean over the past 6 hours. The southeastern tip of Sri Lanka is just visible on the left side of the main image.

Recent imagery has depicted a slowly consolidating low-level circulation center (LLCC) with weak convective banding.

An elongated LLCC with 20-25 knot unflagged winds near the center appears to be present.

The system remains in a generally favorable environment with low vertical wind shear and strong diffluence aloft, fueling persistent deep convection.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 20-25 knots and minumum sea level pressure at 1008mb.

Due to the presence of a developing LLCC with convection banding beginning to wrap into the center, the potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains fair.

source JTWC

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