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Area of Convection Shears to the West

February 5th, 2009 Category: Tropical Cyclones

Area of convection near Australia - February 5th, 2009

Area of convection near Australia - February 5th, 2009

Location of area of convection

Location of area of convection

The area of convection previously located near 15.4S 125.2E, is now located near 15.5S 118.9E, approximately 475 nautical miles northeast of Learmonth, Australia.

In the image of the globe, the area of convection is visible to the right. To the left, Tropical Cyclone 13S (Gael) can be seen near Madagascar.

The low level circulation center (LLCC) has moved west offshore over the past 12 hours.

Animated water vapor imagery shows the area of convection being sheared to the West and fully detached from the LLCC.

Area of convection - enhanced image

Area of convection - enhanced image

Environmental analysis indicates strong vertical wind shear; however, off-shore water temperatures are warm.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots. Minimum sea level pressure is estimated to be near 998mb.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains poor.

source JTWC

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