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Area of Convection Persists Near Indonesia

January 23rd, 2009 Category: Tropical Cyclones

Area of convection near Indonesia - January 23rd, 2009

Area of convection near Indonesia - January 23rd, 2009

Position of area of convection

Position of area of convection

The area of convection previously located about 610 nautical miles north-northwest of Cocos Island is now approximately 490 nautical miles north-northwest of it.

Recent animated METSAT imagery and Quickscat data indicate a weak low level circulation, associated with flaring, disorganized convection.

The fact that the system has yet to become organized is clearly visible in both images.  In the grayshade enhanced image, Tropical Cyclone 09S (Fanele) can also be seen to the left, moving southward.

The disturbance is located in a region of upper level diffluence, and high vertical wind shear making the overall environment unfavorable for further development at this time.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots.

Minimum sesa level pressure is estimated to be near 1004mb. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains poor.

source JTWC

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