Area of Convection Persists in South China Sea
An area of convection in the South China Sea is now located approximately 280 nautical miles east of Ho Chi Minh, Vietnam.
Recent imagery shows a broad low level circulation center (LLCC) with bands of convection mostly on the northern flank enhanced by moderate northeasterly wind surge in the northern part of the South China Sea.
Upper level analysis shows the area is in a diffluent zone south of the sub-tropical ridge axis with moderate poleward outflow, although there is moderate to high vertical wind shear.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 10 to 15 knots and minimum sea level pressure at 1008mb.
However, the possibility for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains poor.