Area of Convection Near Madagascar
An area of convection has persisted approximately 255 nautical miles easth-northeast of Madagascar.
Imagery shows a poorly defined low level circulation center (LLCC) just north of the main band of convection.
Upper level analysis indicates the system is located in an area with light to moderate vertical wind shear equatorward of a mid-level ridge axis.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots and minimum sea level pressure at 1008mb.
The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is poor.