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Area of Convection Near Darwin, Australia

February 4th, 2009 Category: Tropical Cyclones

Area of convection - February 4th, 2009

Area of convection - February 4th, 2009

Location of area of convection

Location of area of convection

An area of convection has persisted near 15.4S 125.2E, approximately 360 nautical miles west-southwest of Darwin,  in Australia’s Northern Territory.

The satellite image shows the part of the area of convection nearest to Darwin. The  inverted grayscale image shows the location of this area of convection (far left), as well as two others near Australia.

Animated water vapor imagery shows an elongated area of deepening convection that is slowly moving to the west.

The low level circulation has formed along an extension of the monsoon trough.

Environmental analysis indicates strong vertical wind shear; however, off-shore water temperatures are warm.

Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots and minimum sea level pressure at 998mb.

The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is poor.

source JTWC

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