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Tropical Storm Parma (19W) Hits Vietnam

October 13th, 2009 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Parma (19W) - FAPAR - October 13th, 2009

Tropical Storm Parma (19W) - FAPAR - October 13th, 2009

Track of Parma - October 13th, 2009 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of Parma

Tropical Storm 19W Parma, located approximately 130 nm east-southeast of Hanoi, Vietnam, has tracked westward at 05 knots over the past six hours.

Animated multispectral satellite imagery shows a band of deep convection remains well defined on the southern periphery of Parma.

The combination of good upper level support with the system under the axis of an upper level subtropical ridge, providing good radial outflow, and interaction from land have helped to maintain the structure of this system without significant development over the past 06 hours.

Increased interaction with Vietnam will begin to hinder low level inflow, with a slow decrease in intensity over the next 24 hours. Landfall is expected around tau 24, with rapid weakening and complete dissipation by tau 36. Maximum significant wave height at 130600z is 11 feet.

Please click here for previous articles on tropical storm Parma.

Tropical Storm Parma (19W) Hovering Near Philippines; Super Typhoon Melor (20W) on its Way

20.6N 118.8E

October 6th, 2009 Category: Tropical Cyclones, Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Parma (19W) - October 5th, 2009

Tropical Storm Parma (19W) - October 5th, 2009

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Track of TS Parma (19W), left, and STY Melor (20W), right - October 5th, 2009 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of Parma and Melor

In a week that saw Samoa hit by a tsnuami and Indonesia shaken by an earthquake, the Philippines, caught a break: Typhoon Parma (19W) missed the capital of Manila.

Just one week after a hurricane flooded 80 percent of Manila, killing 300 people and displacing at least half a million, the devastated city has been spared a second major storm. Typhoon Parma had threatened to dump even more heavy rains over the city, trigger more landslides, and block relief efforts, reports the CSM.

Though typhoon Parma did strike the island of Luzon, where Manila is located, and kill 16 people, it then bypassed the capital and edged toward the less densely populated north.

Parma was also downgraded to a tropical storm Monday, with winds of 59 mph and gusts of up to 75 mph, according to the Associated Press. The storm is now located approximately 330 nautical miles east-southeast of Hong Kong, has remained quasi-stationary over the past six hours. Maximum significant wave height is 30 feet.

Parma is still expected to cause severe damage, though, dumping heavy rains not just in the northern Philippines but also Taiwan, where 6,000 villagers have been evacuated. Instead of continuing on its path away from the country, it’s predicted to linger over the city of Laoag and surrounding areas until Thursday. That’s because a third typhoon, Melor (to the right in the animated image), churning in the Pacific, is acting “like a magnet” and holding Parma in place, according to Agence France-Presse.

Super Typhoon Melor (20W), on the other hand, is projected to pass over Philippine waters but not hit the mainland. It is now located approximately 500 nautical miles southeast of Okinawa, and has tracked northwestward at 14 knots over the past six hours. Maximum significant wave height is 40 feet.

Typhoon Parma (19W) Hits Northern Philippines

October 2nd, 2009 Category: Tropical Cyclones

Typhoon Parma (19W) - October 2nd, 2009

Typhoon Parma (19W) - October 2nd, 2009

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Track of Parma - October 2nd, 2009 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of Parma

Typhoon Parma (19W) located approximately 245 nm east of Manila, Philippines, has tracked northwestward at 15 knots over the past six hours.

Typhoon 19W continues to track on the southern periphery of the the sub-tropical ridge to the northeast. The system is expected to continue on a west-northwestward to northwestward track towards the northeastern coast of Luzon, making landfall near tau 12.

The system will weaken as it crosses northern Luzon into the Luzon Strait before moving slowly into the south China Sea. The available numerical model guidance is in poor agreement, with several aids (NGPS, EGRR, GFDN) crossing north-central Luzon and moving further into the south China Sea.

The remaining aids (JGSM, AVNO, WBAR and TCLP) indicate a recurvature scenario, with avno being the most agressive of these (reaching Tokyo at tau 120). This forecast favors the more westward grouping, but reflects the uncertainty in the extended period, tracking much more slowly in the after tau 72.

Maximum significant wave height at 020600z is 32 feet. Please click here for a previous article on both typhoons.

Super Typhoon Parma (19W) Approaches Philippines

10.4N 131.4E

October 1st, 2009 Category: Tropical Cyclones

Super Typhoon Parma (19W) - October 1st, 2009

Super Typhoon Parma (19W) - October 1st, 2009

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Track of Parma - October 1st, 2009 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of Parma

Super Typhoon Parma (19W), located approximately 615 nautical miles east-southeast of Manila, Philippines, has tracked west-northwestward at 15 knots over the past six hours. Maximum significant wave height is 28 feet.

Meanwhile, Typhoon Melor (20W) has tracked northwestward at 5 knots over the past six hours, and is now located approximately 440 nautical miles east-southeast of Saipan.

Please click here for a previous article on both typhoons.

Typhoon Parma and Tropical Storms Melor and 18W North of Papua-New Guinea

10.2N 151.1E

October 1st, 2009 Category: Tropical Cyclones, Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Melor - September 29th, 2009

Tropical Storm Melor - September 29th, 2009

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Track of 18W, 19W and 20W - September 30th, 2009 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of 18W, 19W and 20W

Three tropical storms of varying intensities can be found north of Papua New Guinea and Australia. The main image focuses on Tropical Storm Melor, while the animated imagery includes all three (from left to right): Typhoon Parma, Tropical Storm 18W and Tropical Storm Melor.

Tropical Storm 18W is located approximately 70 nautical miles east-southeast of Guam. It has tracked west-northwestward at 15 knots over the past six hours. Maximum significant wave height is 17 feet.

Typhoon Parma (19W) is situated about 160 nautical miles northeast of Palau. The system has tracked northwestward at 11 knots over the past six hours. Parma has been upgraded to typhoon status based on intensity estimates by PGTW, RJTD and KNES, along with a microwave eye-like feature seen in an SSMI image. Maximum significant wave height is 18 feet.

Finally, Tropical Storm Melor (20W), located approximately 605 nautical miles east-southeast of Saipan, has tracked west-northwestward at 14 knots over the past six hours. The system’s maximum significant wave height is 15 feet.

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