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Post-tropical Cyclone Jova Causing Heavy Rainfall in Mexico

20.9N 104.6W

October 13th, 2011 Category: Tropical Storms

Post-tropical Cyclone Jova (10E) - October 12th, 2011

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Track of Post-tropical Cyclone Jova (10E) - October 12th, 2011 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of 10E

At 8:00 PM PDT (0300 UTC) the center of Post-tropical Cyclone Jova was located near latitude 21.7 north, longitude 104.2 west.

The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h) and a slow northeastward motion is expected until dissipation.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and the system should dissipate in a day or less. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).

Hazards affecting land consist mainly in rainfall; the remnant of Jova is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches over the states of Michoacan, Colima, Jalisco and Nayarit through Thursday.

Hurricane Beatriz Near Coast of Southwestern Mexico

17.3N 103.9W

June 21st, 2011 Category: Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Beatriz (02E) - June 20th, 2011

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Track of TC 02E

The center of Hurricane Beatriz is located near latitude 18.0 North, longitude 103.5 West.

Beatriz is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and a turn toward the northwest and west-northwest is forecast during the next 48 hours.

On the forecast track, the center of the hurricane will be moving very near or over the coast of Mexico in the hurricane warning area overnight Monday and moving away from the coast by late Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Beatriz is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale. Some additional strengthening is possible if the center remains over water during the next day or so.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). Estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).

Hazards affecting land include wind, rainfall and storm surges. Hurricane conditions are likely affecting portions of the coast of Mexico within the hurricane warning area. Tropical storm conditions are also occurring elsewhere within portions of the warning area.

Beatriz is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6 to 12 inches along the coasts of the states of Guerrero, Jalisco, Colima and Michoacán in southwestern Mexico, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches over mountainous terrain. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

A storm surge is also expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds within the hurricane warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.

Hurricane Norbert

October 7th, 2008 Category: Tropical Storms

Hurricane Norbert - October 7th, 2008

Hurricane Norbert - October 7th, 2008 - © Chelys/Google

On October 6th, Tropical Storm Norbert was officially upgraded to hurricane status. As of 8:00PM yesterday it was located about 315mi (510km) south-southwest of Manzanillo, Colima. According to the U.S. National Hurricane Center, it is moving west-northwest at 7 knots (8mph, 13km/h), and is expected to continue along that heading. It has maximum sustained winds of 65 knots (75mph, 120 km/h), with stronger gusts, and a minimum central pressure of 987 millibars (29.15 inches). Although Hurricane Norbert is expected to gain in strength over the next 2 days, it is of no immediate threat to land.

Tropical Storm Norbert (15E)

October 6th, 2008 Category: Tropical Storms

October 5th, 2008 - Tropical Storm Norbert (15E)Norbert

October 5th, 2008 - Tropical Storm Norbert (15E)

Tropical Storm Norbert - Enhanced Image

Tropical Storm Norbert - Enhanced Image

Tropical Storm Norbert is moving northwest towards Baja California, though it is not expected to hit the peninsula directly. As of 2:00AM PDT on October 6th, it was located about 340 mi (545 km) south of Manzanillo, Colima.

It has maximum sustained winds of 55knots (65 mph, 100km/h) with higher gusts. and a minimum central pressure of 993 mbar (29.32 inches). The U.S. National Hurricane Center has forecasted that it will become stronger over the next 24 hours and has said that it could become a hurricane by tomorrow.

Norbert formed from a broad low pressure system south of Southern Mexico. On October 3rd, after about 4 days, this low pressure system turned into Tropical Depression 15E. It was then designated Tropical Storm Norbert late October 4th.

JTWC Warning No.9

JTWC Warning No.9

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