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Typhoon Melor (20W)

16.6N 130.0E

October 6th, 2009 Category: Tropical Cyclones

Typhoon Melor (20W) - October 6th, 2009

Typhoon Melor (20W) - October 6th, 2009

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Track of Typhoon Melor (20W) - October 6th, 2009 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of Melor

Typhoon 20w (Melor), located approximately 235 nm southeast of Okinawa, Japan, has tracked north-northwestward at 14 knots over the past six hours.

Recent animated multispectral imagery continues to show a fully-developed typhoon with a well-defined eye and animated water vapor imagery indicates that typhoon Melor has developed better poleward outflow into the mid-latitude westerlies as it is starting to crest the subtropical ridge axis.

However, recent infrared imagery reveals waning deep convection and Dvorak estimates from PGTW, KNES, and RJTD have dropped in the last 12 hours. The current intensity is based on these Dvorak estimates.

The current position is also based on fixes by the same agencies, with high confidence. The current numerical model aids are in good agreemeent with the system starting recurvature within the next 12 to 18 hours.

The aids also agree on landfall west of Tokyo, Japan, after tau 36. Maximum significant wave height at 060600z is 38 feet.

Tropical Storm Parma (19W) Hovering Near Philippines; Super Typhoon Melor (20W) on its Way

20.6N 118.8E

October 6th, 2009 Category: Tropical Cyclones, Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Parma (19W) - October 5th, 2009

Tropical Storm Parma (19W) - October 5th, 2009

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Track of TS Parma (19W), left, and STY Melor (20W), right - October 5th, 2009 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of Parma and Melor

In a week that saw Samoa hit by a tsnuami and Indonesia shaken by an earthquake, the Philippines, caught a break: Typhoon Parma (19W) missed the capital of Manila.

Just one week after a hurricane flooded 80 percent of Manila, killing 300 people and displacing at least half a million, the devastated city has been spared a second major storm. Typhoon Parma had threatened to dump even more heavy rains over the city, trigger more landslides, and block relief efforts, reports the CSM.

Though typhoon Parma did strike the island of Luzon, where Manila is located, and kill 16 people, it then bypassed the capital and edged toward the less densely populated north.

Parma was also downgraded to a tropical storm Monday, with winds of 59 mph and gusts of up to 75 mph, according to the Associated Press. The storm is now located approximately 330 nautical miles east-southeast of Hong Kong, has remained quasi-stationary over the past six hours. Maximum significant wave height is 30 feet.

Parma is still expected to cause severe damage, though, dumping heavy rains not just in the northern Philippines but also Taiwan, where 6,000 villagers have been evacuated. Instead of continuing on its path away from the country, it’s predicted to linger over the city of Laoag and surrounding areas until Thursday. That’s because a third typhoon, Melor (to the right in the animated image), churning in the Pacific, is acting “like a magnet” and holding Parma in place, according to Agence France-Presse.

Super Typhoon Melor (20W), on the other hand, is projected to pass over Philippine waters but not hit the mainland. It is now located approximately 500 nautical miles southeast of Okinawa, and has tracked northwestward at 14 knots over the past six hours. Maximum significant wave height is 40 feet.

Super Typhoon Parma (19W) Approaches Philippines

10.4N 131.4E

October 1st, 2009 Category: Tropical Cyclones

Super Typhoon Parma (19W) - October 1st, 2009

Super Typhoon Parma (19W) - October 1st, 2009

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Track of Parma - October 1st, 2009 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of Parma

Super Typhoon Parma (19W), located approximately 615 nautical miles east-southeast of Manila, Philippines, has tracked west-northwestward at 15 knots over the past six hours. Maximum significant wave height is 28 feet.

Meanwhile, Typhoon Melor (20W) has tracked northwestward at 5 knots over the past six hours, and is now located approximately 440 nautical miles east-southeast of Saipan.

Please click here for a previous article on both typhoons.

Typhoon Parma and Tropical Storms Melor and 18W North of Papua-New Guinea

10.2N 151.1E

October 1st, 2009 Category: Tropical Cyclones, Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Melor - September 29th, 2009

Tropical Storm Melor - September 29th, 2009

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Track of 18W, 19W and 20W - September 30th, 2009 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of 18W, 19W and 20W

Three tropical storms of varying intensities can be found north of Papua New Guinea and Australia. The main image focuses on Tropical Storm Melor, while the animated imagery includes all three (from left to right): Typhoon Parma, Tropical Storm 18W and Tropical Storm Melor.

Tropical Storm 18W is located approximately 70 nautical miles east-southeast of Guam. It has tracked west-northwestward at 15 knots over the past six hours. Maximum significant wave height is 17 feet.

Typhoon Parma (19W) is situated about 160 nautical miles northeast of Palau. The system has tracked northwestward at 11 knots over the past six hours. Parma has been upgraded to typhoon status based on intensity estimates by PGTW, RJTD and KNES, along with a microwave eye-like feature seen in an SSMI image. Maximum significant wave height is 18 feet.

Finally, Tropical Storm Melor (20W), located approximately 605 nautical miles east-southeast of Saipan, has tracked west-northwestward at 14 knots over the past six hours. The system’s maximum significant wave height is 15 feet.

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