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Tropical Depression Ten (10L) Could Become Tropical Storm Today

18.0N 48.2W

August 26th, 2011 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Depression Ten (10L) - August 25th, 2011

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Track of TD 10L - August 25th, 2011 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of TD 10L

As of 5:00 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten was located near latitude 13.8 north, longitude 32.4 west. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h).A turn toward the northwest is expected tomorrow, with a turn toward the north-northwest forecast on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression could become a tropical storm by Friday. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).

Flooding Threat Continues as Hermine Becomes Extratropical – September 9th, 2010

September 9th, 2010 Category: Floods, Tropical Storms

Tropical Depression Hermine (10L) - September 8th, 2010

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At 10:00 PM CDT (03:00 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Hermine (10L) was located about 40 miles (60 km) south-southwest of Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, and about 150 miles (240 km) north-northwest of Dallas/Love Field, Texas – near latitude 34.9 North and longitude 98.0 West.

Tropical Depression Hermine is expected to become extratropical as it moves northeastward across Oklahoma Wednesday evening and early Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 25 mph (40 km/hr), with higher gusts. Minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

Flood and flash flood watches, warnings and advisories remain in effect from south central Texas, northward across Oklahoma and southeastern Kansas, across Missouri and Arkansas into southwestern Illinois.

Additional rainfall amounts of three to six inches, with localized higher amounts, can be expected through
thursday from eastern Texas and Oklahoma into Mssouri and Arkansas.

Hermine (10L) Weakens to a Tropical Depression, Still Producing Heavy Rainfall Over Texas

29.3N 97.9W

September 8th, 2010 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Hermine (10L) - September 7th, 2010

Track of TS 10L - September 7th, 2010 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of TS 10L

At 7:00 PM CDT (00:00 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Hermine (10L) was located near latitude 31.1 North, longitude 99.4 West.

In the main image, a small portion of convection that is part of TD 10L can be observed along the right edge. The full system can be seen in the animated image.

Hermine is moving toward the north-northwest near 20 mph (33 km/hr). A turn to the north and then north-northeast is expected over the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/hr) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast as Hermine moves farther inland over central Texas. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

Hazards affecting land include storm surges, rainfall and tornados. Water levels along the Texas coast will gradually recede but remain above normal for the next day or so.

Hermine is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 6 inches, with possible isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches, from the middle Texas coast northward through central Texas and over central and eastern Oklahoma.

These rains are expected to spread northeastward across southeastern Kansas and Missouri during the next few days. The heavy rainfall could cause life-threatening flash floods. Isolated tornadoes are also possible over portions of central and southeast Texas this evening.

Tropical Storm Hermine (10L) Nears Mexican Coast, Strengthens – September 7th, 2010

22.7N 96W

September 7th, 2010 Category: Image of the day, Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Hermine (10L) - September 6th, 2010

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Track of TS 10L - September 6th, 2010 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of TS 10L

A low pressure area in the Gulf of Mexico has organized into a tropical storm (click here for previous article). As of 7:00 PM CDT (00:00 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hermine was located near latitude 24.8 North, longitude 97.1 West.

Hermine is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/hr), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or two.

On the forecast track, the center will make landfall on the coast of northeastern Mexico in the warning area Monday night, and move inland over southern Texas on Tuesday and into central Texas on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/hr) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible, and Hermine could approach hurricane strength prior to landfall. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km) from the center. The latest reported minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.26 inches).

Tropical storm conditions are occurring in the warning area and are expected to continue overnight. A storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 2 to 4 feet above ground level along the immediate coast near and to the north of where the center makes landfall.

Hermine is expected to produce rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over northeastern Mexico and south Texas with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches possible. These rains could cause life-threatening flash flood and mudslides. Isolated tornadoes are also possible along the lower and middle Texas coast Monday and Tuesday.

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