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Tropical Storm Ernesto (05L) Near Coast of Mexico

18.6N 91.8W

August 8th, 2012 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Ernesto – August 8th, 2012

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Tropical Storm Ernesto - August 8th, 2012 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Tropical Storm Ernesto

As of 4 p.m. CDT (2100 UTC) August 8, Tropical Storm Ernesto (05L) is located within 20 nautical miles of 18.9°N 91.5°W, about 30 mi (50 km) northeast of Ciudad del Carmen, Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds are 45 knots (50 mph, 85 km/h), with stronger gusts. Minimum central pressure is 995 mbar (hPa; 29.38 InHg), and the system is moving west at 11 kt (13 mph, 20 km/h). Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center of Ernesto.

Tropical Storm Ernesto (05L) Over Caribbean Sea

16.6N 80.6W

August 7th, 2012 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Ernesto – August 6th, 2012

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Tropical Storm Ernesto - August 6th, 2012 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Tropical Storm Ernesto

As of 8 p.m. EDT August 6 (0000 UTC August 7), Tropical Storm Ernesto is located within 30 nautical miles of 16.5°N 82.1°W, about 295 mi (475 km) east of Isla Roatan, Honduras and about 415 mi (670 km) east of Belize.

Instead of Ernesto becoming more organized, moderate wind shear and dry air made Ernesto more disorganized as it travels through the Caribbean Sea. On August 6, Ernesto slowed from over 20 mph to 10 mph. As it moved over warmer waters and lowered wind shear, Ernesto intensified to near hurricane status.

Currently, maximum sustained winds are 55 knots (65 mph, 100 km/h), with stronger gusts. Minimum central pressure is 995 mbar (hPa; 29.38 InHg), and the system is moving west-northwest at 10 kt (12 mph, 19 km/h). Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center of Ernesto.

Tropical Storm Emily (05L) Has High Chance of Regenerating

23.0N 74.2W

August 6th, 2011 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Emily (05L) - August 5th, 2011

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Track of TS 05L - August 5th, 2011 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of TS 05L

Satellite images, surface observations and radar data from Cuba indicate the remnant low pressure system of former Tropical Storm Emily (05L) has remained nearly stationary about midway between the
central Bahamas and the north-central coast of Cuba.

Thunderstorm activity has increased and become a little better organized near the surface center, and upper-level winds are gradually becoming more conducive for a tropical depression to form during the next day or so. This system has a high chance (70 percent) of regenerating into a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves toward the northwest at 10 mph.

Regardless of development, this disturbance will produce gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall over portions of the central and northwestern Bahamas Friday night and Saturday

Tropical Storm Emily (05L) Passing Over Hispaniola

18.2N 70.7W

August 4th, 2011 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Emily (05L) - August 3rd, 2011

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Track of TS 05L - August 4th, 2011 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of TS 05L

The mountains of Hispaniola are taking a toll on Emily; the cyclone could degenerate into a tropical wave later today. Satellite images indicate that emily is losing organization as it interacts with the mountains of Hispaniola.

At 2:00 PM EDT (1800 UTC) the center of weakening Tropical Storm Emily was estimated near latitude 17.8 north, longitude 72.8 west. Emily is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (16 km/h). A turn to the northwest with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected during the next 12 to 24 hours.

On this track Emily, or its remnants, will move across the southwestern peninsula of Haiti later today and move over extreme eastern Cuba tonight or early Friday. A tropical storm warning is in effect for the southern coast of the Dominican Republic from west of Santo Domingo westward to the southern border with Haiti, for Haiti itself, for the southeastern and central Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands, and for the Guantanamo and Holguin provinces in eastern Cuba. A tropical storm watch is in effect for the northwestern Bahamas.

However, the government of the Dominican Republic has discontinued the tropical storm warning for the south coast of the country from Santo Domingo eastward to Cabo Engano and along the north coast from Cabo Francis to the northern border with Haiti.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is anticipated and Emily could dissipate later today. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles 185 km mainly to the east of the center. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).

Tropical Storm Danny Moving Northwest

August 27th, 2009 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Danny - August 26th, 2009

Tropical Storm Danny - August 26th, 2009

Enhanced image - August 26th, 2009

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Track of Danny - August 27th, 2009 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of Danny

As of 5 a.m. EDT (0900 UTC) August 27, Tropical Storm Danny is located within 60 nautical miles of 27.4°N 72.1°W, about 370 mi (590 km) east-northeast of Nassau, Bahamas and about 575 mi (925 km) south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, USA.

Maximum sustained winds are 50 knots (60 mph, 95 km/h), with stronger gusts. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center of Danny, which has reformed a little farther to the north. Minimum central pressure is 1006 mbar (hPa; 29.71 InHg).

The system is moving northwest at 9 kt (10 mph, 17 km/h). This general motion is expected to continue today, with a turn toward the north and an increase in forward speed expected on Friday.

Early charts are showing a very close to land path, which would mean onshore winds and not much leftover swell behind the storm. This expected track will require a vigil along the US eastern seaboard this weekend, as Danny could slowly get stronger as it moves toward land.

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