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Tropical Storm Cosme (03E) Off Coast of Mexico

19.3N 115.7W

June 27th, 2013 Category: Tropical Storms VIIRSSuomi-NPP

Hurricane Cosme (03E) – June 26th, 2013

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Track of Hurricane Cosme (03E) - June 25th, 2013 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of TC 03E

As of 8 p.m. PDT June 26 (0300 UTC June 27), Tropical Storm Cosme is located within 25 nautical miles of 19.6°N 117.6°W, about 545 mi (880 km) west-southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds are 45 kt (50 mph, 85 km/h), with stronger gusts. Minimum central pressure is 998 mbar (hPa; 29.47 InHg), and the system is moving west-northwest at 12 kt (14 mph, 22 km/h). Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 mi (220 km) from the center of Cosme.

Hurricane Cosme (03E) Moving Nearer to Baja California

26.2N 120.7W

June 26th, 2013 Category: Tropical Cyclones VIIRSSuomi-NPP

Hurricane Cosme (03E) – June 25th, 2013

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Track of Hurricane Cosme (03E) - June 25th, 2013 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of TC 03E

As of 8 p.m. PDT June 25 (0300 UTC June 26), Hurricane Cosme (03E) is located within 15 nautical miles of 17.9°N 113.3°W, about 410 mi (660 km) south-southwest of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico and about 525 mi (845 km) west-southwest of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico.

Maximum sustained winds are 75 kt (85 mph, 140 km/h), with stronger gusts. Minimum central pressure is 981 mbar (hPa; 28.97 InHg), and the system is moving west-northwest at 12 kt (14 mph, 22 km/h). Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 mi (55 km) from the center of Cosme, and tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 mi (280 km) from the center of Cosme.

Blanca Dissipates, New System Forms

14.6N 110.3W

July 10th, 2009 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Cyclone Formation - July 9th, 2009

Tropical Cyclone Formation - July 9th, 2009

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Track of TC formation - July 10th, 2009 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of TC formation

As Tropical Storm Blanca (03E) dissipates off the western coast of Mexico, a new contestant has already begun preparing to come into play: an area of low pressure located about 900 miles south of the southern tip of Baja California continues to show signs of organization.

Conditions appear to be favorable for this system to become a tropical depression on Friday as it moves west-northwestward near 10 mph. There is a high chance, greater than 50 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

Winds in the area are estimated to be 20 to 25 knots, and the system is moving west-northwestward at 6 knots. Recent NHC pressure estimates show a decrease in sea level pressure of over 2 mb in the past 24 hours. It is now estimated to be near 1007 mb.

Recent animated multispectral imagery indicates that the low level circulation center (LLCC) has begun to organize with convective banding wrapping into it from all quadrants.

Upper level analysis reveals that the system is in a region of moderate vertical wind shear, but the system has good equatorward outflow and improving poleward outflow due to interaction with an upper level low located north of the system.

The remnants of Blanca, on the other hand, located about 950 miles west of the southern tip of Baja California, are producing a few showers while moving northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.

Blanca Slowing, Expected to Dissipate

23.2N 118.8W

July 9th, 2009 Category: Tropical Storms

Remnant Low of Blanca (03E) - July 9th, 2009 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Remnant Low of Blanca (03E) - July 9th, 2009

Blanca (03E) has weakened from a tropical depression to a remnant low.  At 8:00 PM PDT (0300 UTC) the center of the system was located about 775 miles (1245 km) west of the southern tip of Baja California.

The low is moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph and this general motion with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected until dissipation.

Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/hr) with higher gusts.  Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). The low is forecast to slowly weaken over the next couple of days.

Blanca (03E) Weakens to Tropical Storm

19.9N 115.3W

July 8th, 2009 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Depression 03E (Blanca) - July 8th, 2009 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Tropical Depression 03E (Blanca) - July 8th, 2009

Blanca has weakened from a tropical storm to a tropical depression. At 2:00 AM PDT (0900 UTC) the center of the system was located about 600 miles (970 km) west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.

The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/hr) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or two with some decrease in forward speed.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/hr) with higher gusts. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). Additional weakening is forecast during the next 24 to 48 hours, and Blanca could weaken to a remnant low later today or Thursday.

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