Tropical Cyclone Felleng (13S) East of Madagascar – February 2nd, 201321S 51.3E
Tropical Cyclone Felleng (13S), located approximately 275 nm west-southwest of La Reunion, has tracked south-southeastward at 14 knots over the past six hours. Here, the system can be seen east of Madagascar. Maximum significant wave height at 31 feet.
The current position is based on recent position fixes from multiple reporting agencies and an SSMIS pass. The current intensity of 70 knots is consistent with a consensus of subjective Dvorak estimates and recent automated intensity estimates from CIMSS and CIRA.
Recent animated water vapor satellite imagery shows deep convection persisting over a tightly- wrapped low level circulation center (LLCC) and strong equatorward and eastward outflow driven by an upper-level ridge over the cyclone.