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Archive for Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Aletta and Nearby Low Pressure Area

13.2N 108.9W

May 16th, 2012 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Aletta (01E) - May 16th, 2012

Tropical Storm Aletta (01E) - May 16th, 2012

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Track of Tropical Storm Aletta (01E) - May 16th, 2012 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of TS 01E

As of 2 p.m. PDT (2100 UTC) May 16, Tropical Storm Aletta (01E), the first storm of the 2012 Pacific Hurricane Season, is located within 30 nautical miles of 11.4°N 113.5°W, about 830 mi (1335 km) south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.

Maximum sustained winds are 35 knots (40 mph, 65 km/h), with stronger gusts. Minimum central pressure is 1004 mbar (hPa; 29.65 InHg), and the system is moving west at 8 kt (9 mph, 15 km/h). Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center of Aletta.

Visible to the east of Aletta in the full images is a broad low pressure area located about 500 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico. It has changed little over the past several hours, although environmental conditions are generally conducive for slow development of this system during the next few days. This system has a medium chance (30 percent) of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves slowly to the northwest.

Tropical Storm Aletta (01E) Off Coast of Mexico Marks Start of 2012 Hurricane Season – May 15th, 2012

17.5N 110.8W

May 15th, 2012 Category: Image of the day, Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Aletta (01E) - May 14th, 2012

Tropical Storm Aletta (01E) - May 14th, 2012

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Track of Tropical Storm Aletta (01E) - May 14th, 2012 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of TS 01E

On May 12, the NHC reported that a tropical disturbance formed, about 550 miles south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. The storm quickly moved northwest before stalling, and then began to strengthen rapidly.

Early on May 14, the tropical disturbance intensified into a tropical depression, becoming the first storm of the season. Tropical Depression One-E formed one day before the official start of the 2012 Pacific hurricane season. This marks the first time that a tropical cyclone has formed before the official start of hurricane season, in the East Pacific basin since 1996, when Tropical Storm One-E formed on May 13, 1996.

Late on May 14, the storm intensified into Tropical Storm Aletta, with 40 mph (65 km/h) 1-minute sustained winds. As of 8 p.m. PDT (0300 UTC) May 15, Tropical Storm Aletta is located within 30 nautical miles of 10.5°N 108.5°W, about 650 mi (1045 km) south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Maximum sustained winds are 35 knots (40 mph, 65 km/h), with stronger gusts. Minimum central pressure is 1004 mbar (hPa; 29.65 InHg), and the system is moving west at 10 kt (12 mph, 19 km/h).

Tropical Storm Daphne (18P) Located West-Southwest of Fiji

28.6S 178.6W

April 3rd, 2012 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Daphne (18P) - April 2nd, 2012

Tropical Storm Daphne (18P) - April 2nd, 2012

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Track of Tropical Storm Daphne (18P) - April 2nd, 2012 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of TS 18P

On April 2 at 0300 UTC (April 1, 11 p.m. EDT), Tropical Storm Daphne had maximum sustained winds near 35 knots (40 mph/64 kph). Those tropical-storm-force winds extend as far as 200 nautical miles (230 miles/370 km) from the center, making Daphne a good-sized storm, more than 400 nautical miles (460 miles/741 km) in diameter.

Daphne’s center was located about 340 nautical miles (391 miles/630 km) west-southwest of Suva, Fiji, near 19.8 South and 172.7 East. Daphne was moving to the east-southeast near 18 knots (20.7 mph/ 33.3 kph). Forecasters expect Daphne to continue moving to the east-southeast and maintain strength over the next day or two.

Tropical Storm Pakhar (02W) by Vietnam – April 1st, 2012

11.7N 108.2E

April 1st, 2012 Category: Image of the day, Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Pakhar (02W) - March 30th, 2012

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Track of Tropical Storm Pakhar (02W) - March 31st, 2012 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of TS 02W

On March 17, an area of disturbed weather associated with a cold front formed about 300 km (190 mi), to the northwest of Palau Island. At that time, the low pressure area was located in an area of moderate vertical wind shear, with unfavorable water temperature.

Over the next couple of days, it slowly moved towards the Samar area, and crossed the Visayas region. On March 20, the low pressure area remained almost stationary, about 140 km (85 mi) to the northwest of Puerto Princesa, Palawan. The cause of the low’s stalling was due to a high pressure system, that was building up to the northeast of the system, extending into Vietnam. At the same time, the JMA upgraded the storm to a disturbance.

The system remained stationary for more four days, before the JMA upgraded it to a tropical depression. However, on March 25, the JMA downgraded the tropical depression to a disturbance, as the storm’s outer rainbands began to collapse, and its low level circulation center began to be fully exposed.

Early on March 26, the JMA re-upgraded the disturbance to a tropical depression, as the storm began to reorganize. By this time, the depression became well organized, due to low vertical wind shear associated with favorable water temperatures.

During the afternoon of March 27, the tropical depression started to move southwest slowly, due to the weakening of the high pressure system in Vietnam. At the same time, the building of another Subtropical Ridge, located to the northeast of the system, began turning the tropical depression westwards. Simultaneously, the cold front associated with strong northeast monsoon allowed the depression to become more well organized. In addition, water temperatures still under favorable conditions allowed the storm to continue strengthening.

On March 28, JTWC issued a TCFA to the disturbance as its LLCC starts to consolidate more. Early on the next day, the JMA upgraded the tropical depression to a tropical storm and named it Pakhar, because the storm’s convection completely wrapped around the center of circulation. During the next several hours, Pakhar curved towards the northeast, as the storm continued to intensify. At the same time, the JTWC upgraded the disturbance into a tropical depression, and upgraded it to a tropical storm, just a few hours later.

On March 29, Pahkar continued to organize, as the storm slowed down. Early on March 30, the JTWC upgraded Pakhar to a category 1 typhoon. Because of land interaction and colder sea surface temperature, the JTWC downgraded Pakhar to a tropical storm early on March 31.

Pahkar did not make landfall in the Philippines. However, torrential rains and strong winds resulted in heavy traffic, in Metro Manila and nearby provinces. Flooding also occured in different parts of central and southern Luzon, and the northern Visayas region. Landslides were also reported and caused flooding in some provinces. The NDRRMC reported that 2 people drowned, and other 2 people are reported as missing. In Bacolod City at noontime, on March 29 (Philippine Time), 5 cars were destroyed, couple of trees lining up along the streets laid to waste, and business establishments were damaged, near the Universtity of St. La Salle. During the event, 23 people were injured, including one baby girl. Pahkar also spawned a tornado that lasted for 10 minutes.

Tropical Low 17U Expected to Strengthen, Australia

17.9S 140.6E

March 18th, 2012 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Low 17U - March 17th, 2012

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Track of Tropical Low 17U - March 17th, 2012 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of Tropical Low 17U

On March 14, Tropical Low 17U is expected to move to the southwest over the next 24 to 30 hours over Gulf of Carpentaria waters where it is likely to develop into a tropical cyclone during the day.

Gales are expected to affect coastal areas between the Northern Territory – Queensland border and Pormpuraaw during the day. Gales may develop between Port McArthur and the border area, including Borroloola late today, only if the cyclone moves further westwards.

Heavy rain that may lead to flash flooding is expected about the Gulf of Carpentaria coast and adjacent inland areas between the Northern Territory – Queensland border and Pormpuraaw. Water levels on the high tide could also exceed the highest tide of the year about the Gulf of Carpentaria coast and islands between the border area and Pormpuraaw.

Tropical Low 17U Showing Signs of Intensification, Australia

17.6S 137.7E

March 17th, 2012 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Low 17U - March 16th, 2012

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Track of Tropical Low 17U - March 16th, 2012 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of Tropical Low 17U

On March 14, Tropical Low 17U slowly began to weaken as the storm made landfall on the northeastern border of Western Australia.

Several hours later, 17U made a second landfall over the northwestern border of the Northern Territory. Afterwards, TCWC Darwin issued their last bulletin on the storm as it degenerated into a weak low. During the next several hours, 17U continued moving eastwards deep into the Northern Territory while maintaining its intensity.

Late on March 15, 17U crossed over into Northern Queensland with the northern part of the storm emerging into the southern part of the Gulf of Carpentaria. Early on March 17, 17U made it’s second landfall over Howitt, Queensland, Australia, while showing signs of intensification.

Tropical Cyclone Lua (17S) Forecast to Intensify

15.8S 108.8E

March 16th, 2012 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Lua (17S) - March 15th, 2012

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Track of TS 17S - March 15th, 2012 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of TS 17S

Tropical Cyclone Lua (17S), located approximately 375 nm northwest of Port Hedland, Australia, has tracked eastward at 10 knots over the past six hours. Animated infrared satellite imagery shows tightly curved convective banding wrapping into a low level circulation center (LLCC).

A microwave image depicts a low level eye feature, from which the initial position is based. Initial intensity is estimated at 65 to 77 knots. Upper level analysis indicates excellent radial outflow and low vertical wind shear. TC 17S has increased in translation speed over the past 12 hours due to the steering influence of a strengthening deep layer steering ridge to the north.

Lua is expected to turn poleward as the steering ridge reorients. The system is forecast to intensify under favorable upper level conditions and high ocean heat content with the peak intensity between TAU 24 and 36. Maximum significant wave height is 27 feet.

Tropical Low 17U by Northern Territory and Western Australia

13.8S 131.4E

March 15th, 2012 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Low 17U - March 14th, 2012

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Track of Tropical Low 17U - March 14th, 2012 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of Tropical Low 17U

On March 9, an area of low pressure developed to the north of Kimberley. Over the next 3 days, the low moved into the Timor Sea, as the storm slowly intensified.

On March 12, TCWC Darwin reported that the storm had intensified into a tropical low, and gave it the identification 17U. As the storm approached the northern coast of Western Australia, it continued to intensify slowly. On March 14, Tropical Low 17U slowly began to weaken, as the storm made landfall on the northeastern border of Western Australia. Several hours later, 17U made a second landfall over the northwestern border of the Northern Territory. Afterwards, TCWC Darwin issued their last bulletin on the storm, as it degenerated into a weak low.

Tropical Cyclone Lua (17S) Off Coast of Australia – March 15th, 2012

17.9S 108.8E

March 15th, 2012 Category: Image of the day, Tropical Storms

Tropical Storm Lua (17S) - March 14th, 2012

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Track of TS 17S - March 14th, 2012 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of TS 17S

Tropical Cyclone Lua (17S), located approximately 385 nm north of Learmonth, Australia, has tracked east-southeastward at 02 knots over the past six hours. Animated infrared satellite imagery shows a symmetrical area of deep convection over a low level circulation center (LLCC) with tight spiral banding.

The initial intensity is assessed at 60 knots. Maximum significant wave height is 23 feet. Upper level analysis indicates TC 17S is approximately 05 degrees equatorward of a ridge axis with a point source to the northeast. The current VWS is moderate (20 knots). Animated water vapor imagery shows that Lua has maintained good outflow, offsetting the effects of the vertical wind shear (VWS).

The system is currently completing a turn to the southeast and is forecast to track southeastward under the steering influence of a deep layer ridge north of the australian continent. The along-track VWS is expected to relax towards the ridge axis allowing the system to continue steady intensification until making landfall after TAU 48. TC 17S will dissipate over land by TAU 96.

Tropical Cyclone Koji (16S) Tracking Southwestward

16.6S 81.5E

March 11th, 2012 Category: Tropical Storms

Tropical Cyclone 16S - March 10th, 2012

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Track of TC 16S - March 7th, 2012 © Univ. of Wisconsin

Track of TC 16S

Tropical Cyclone Koji (16S), located approximately 930 nm south-southeast of Diego Garcia, has tracked southwestward at 10 knots over the past six hours.

Animated infrared satellite imagery shows no significant change in the overall structure of the system except for a slight cooling of the associated convective tops. Upper level analysis indicates the cyclone has just crossed into the poleward side of the ridge axis in an area of rapidly increasing northwesterly vertical wind shear (VWS).

TC 16S is beginning to round the western edge of the steering subtropical ridge to the east, weakened by a mid-latitude trough that is currently digging in from the southwest. The cyclone is expected to track in a more poleward trajectory after TAU 12, gradually weaken, and dissipate by TAU 72 due to the strong VWS. Maximum significant wave height is 26 feet.

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